Farmland Irrigation
Project Drawdown defines farmland irrigation as: a set of energy-efficient irrigation practices that reduce agricultural water consumption while avoiding emissions. This solution replaces conventional irrigation on irrigated cropland.
Pumping and transporting water accounts for 70-80 percent of global water use, and is a major use of energy. Much of this irrigation is delivered using inefficient methods such as flood irrigation. Employing improved farmland irrigation practices across the agricultural system can bring about water and greenhouse gas savings as high as 25 percent and 40 percent under sprinkler and drip methods, respectively, compared with conventional irrigation methods.
Of course, irrigation is critical to crop production, particularly in the era of climate change with increasingly unpredictable rains. For this reason, efficient irrigation is highly rated as a climate change adaptation strategy.
Methodology
Total Land Area [1]
The total land area for this solution is irrigated cropland, totaling 246 million hectares. [2] Current adoption [3] of efficient farmland irrigation is 44 million hectares, based on the country-level figures from the International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage (ICID, 2015). The country-level figures were aggregated at the regional level. Maximum current adoption of the solution was found in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) region (24.3 million hectares), while Asia, the largest consumer of irrigation water, has the lowest adoption (6 million hectares.
Adoption Scenarios [4]
Five custom adoption scenarios were developed based on the aggregated region-level data. Some of the custom adoption scenarios assume higher growth rates for all regions except the OECD, which has a much higher current adoption than other regions. Considering global water scarcity, two of the aggressive adoption scenarios assume a 100 percent conversion of the conventional irrigation system to micro-irrigation systems, with one scenario assuming an early peak adoption by 2030.
Impacts of increased adoption of farmland irrigation from 2020-2050 were generated based on three growth scenarios, which were assessed in comparison to a Reference Scenario where the solution’s market share was fixed at the current levels.
- Plausible Scenario: Analysis of these five custom scenarios results in the adoption of 181.5 million hectares for farmland irrigation under this scenario.
- Drawdown Scenario: This scenario results in 100 percent adoption – i.e., of 246 million hectares – by 2047.
- Optimum Scenario: This scenario results in 100 percent adoption by 2043.
Emissions Model
Climate impacts of farmland irrigation are based on the difference between the electricity required per hectare for conventional and improved irrigation systems. Meta-analysis of Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) data found that conventional irrigation requires 2.3 terawatt-hours per million hectares per year, while improved irrigation uses 1.5 terawatt-hours per million hectares per year.
Financial Model
Conventional first cost for irrigation is US$671.37 per hectare, [5] based on 13 data points from 10 sources. First cost for the farmland irrigation solution is US$1,575.86 per hectare, based on meta-analysis of 37 data points from 22 sources. Conventional net profit margin is US$407.46 per hectare, based on 38 data points from 22 sources. Net profit margin per hectare for farmland irrigation is US$152.02, calculated by adding the net profit margin of the conventional practice to the difference between conventional irrigation costs and the weighted average cost of micro-irrigation.
Integration [6]
Unlike most Drawdown solutions, the farmland irrigation solution can be applied to units of land where other solutions are taking place, as it was determined that the emissions reduction from improved irrigation is independent from, for example, biosequestration from conservation agriculture or tree intercropping.
Results
Total adoption of farmland irrigation in the Plausible Scenario is 181.5 million hectares in 2050, representing 40.8 percent of the total available land. Of this, 100.5 million hectares are adopted from 2020-2050. The emissions impact of this scenario is 1.3 gigatons of carbon dioxide-equivalent reduced by 2050. Net cost is US$216.2 billion. Net savings is US$429.7 billion. This solution also reduces water use by 340.6 billion liters from 2015-2050.
Total adoption in the Drawdown Scenario is 246.0 million hectares in 2047, representing 100.0 percent of the total available land. Of this, 202.0 million hectares are adopted from 2020-2050. The impact of this scenario is 1.9 gigatons of carbon dioxide-equivalent reduced by 2050.
Total adoption in the Optimum Scenario is 246.0 million hectares in 2043, representing 100.0 percent of the total available land. Of this, 202.0 million hectares are adopted from 2020-2050. The impact of this scenario is 2.3 gigatons of carbon dioxide-equivalent reduced by 2050.
Discussion
Benchmarks
Few benchmarks are available to provide comparisons for this study. The FAO noted in 2011 that no published figures were available on greenhouse gas emissions from irrigation (Turral et al., 2011).
Limitations
Additional data points on the emissions and irrigation costs of farmland irrigation would improve this study. It would also be worthwhile to model extending improved irrigation to currently rainfed areas to increase yields as a form of agricultural intensification.
Conclusions
Irrigation efficiency is a win-win solution. It increases food security in a world with increasingly unpredictable weather, reduces water use, and reduces emissions.
[1] To learn more about the Total Land Area for the Food Sector, click the Sector Summary: Food link below.
[2] Determining the total available land for a solution is a two-part process. The technical potential is based on the suitability of climate, soils, and slopes, and on degraded or non-degraded status. In the second stage, land is allocated using the Drawdown Agro-Ecological Zone model, based on priorities for each class of land. The total land allocated for each solution is capped at the solution’s maximum adoption in the Optimum Scenario. Thus, in most cases the total available land is less than the technical potential.
[3] Current adoption is defined as the amount of functional demand supplied by the solution in the base year of study. This study uses 2014 as the base year due to the availability of global adoption data for all Project Drawdown solutions evaluated.
[4] To learn more about Project Drawdown’s three growth scenarios, click the Scenarios link below. For information on Food Sector-specific scenarios, click the Sector Summary: Food link.
[5] All monetary values are presented in US2014$.
[6] For more on Project Drawdown’s Food Sector integration model, click the Sector Summary: Food link below.